Thorner: Analyzing Why Conservatives Lose

October 29, 2015

Monday, October 26, 2015


By Nancy Thorner – 

Conservatives like to blame the media, big money, vote fraud, the Republican Establishment, the brainwashing of liberal teachers, etc., for their losses. But the real answer is much simpler and much more damning.

Recently I was talking to a fellow precinct committeeman (a solid conservative) and pointed out how our “Republican” Congressman Bob Dold, was only one of two Republicans to vote to fund Obamacare and Planned Parenthood (among dozens of other liberal votes). Although privy to this information, my friend will still vote without reservations for Dold. Why? Because she considers electing a Republican Speaker of the House the most important vote a congressman makes, and Dold would be there to cast that vote.

Had I not found it necessary to leave, I would have reminded her friend of the way “Republican” Speaker of the House, John Boehner, constantly used Democrats to pass bad bills, even resorting to bullying conservative Republican Congressmen when they refused to follow Boehner’s diktats. With a healthy majority in the House, why should conservative voters fear losing a Republican seat or two in a primary to send a message?

Indeed, without the example of Eric Cantor, John Boehner wouldn’t be trying to retire, and the Establishment wouldn’t be so eager to have Paul Ryan (who they think would be hard to primary) replace him! It’s no accident that the rest of the Republican House leadership is from states like Washington, Louisiana and California where liberals can easily vote in “jungle primaries” to select the most liberal Republican possible.

Is Paul Ryan the right choice for House Speaker?

Phyllis Schlafly of Eagle Forum has this to say about Paul Ryan: “He voted to grant homosexuals special rights in 2007 (ENDA), said yes to the 2008 Wall Street bailouts (TARP), and proudly supports amnesty. Just this year, while voting with the weak leadership to fund every one of President Obama’s priorities, Ryan led the fight in the House to grant the president more power to negotiate trade deals. Ryan’s Democratic fans include Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid and pro-amnesty fanatic Rep. Luis Gutierrez.”

On key votes, Ryan has frequently voted against the majority of the House Republican Caucus and those in leadership position, the latest being the Cromnibus legislation of 2014.  Following are other accounts of when Dold broke ranks with the GOP:

  •  In 2007, Ryan was one of 35 members of his party who voted for the Employment Non-Discrimination Act:
  • Back in 2008, when the subprime mortgage crisis threatened to derail the economy, Ryan split from his fellow fiscal conservatives in voting for the $700 billion Troubled Asset Relief Program.
  • Also in 2008, Ryan voted to provide up to $14 billion in loans to domestic automakers.

Ryan even tried to cut benefits for disabled veterans, and recently retired veterans, while raising fees to spend more on other government programs.

As Romney’s running mate in 2012, I am hard pressed to think of a VP candidate who brought less to a ticket. He was unimpressive on the stump and even less impressive in his debate with Biden. In terms of being the public face of the Republican Party, in my opinion, Ryan would represent the status quo and would differ little from Boehner.

It is almost a given, considering past voting records, that Illinois’ six Republican congressmen will vote for Paul Ryan for House Speaker. Why not, when almost all of them will not have to face a primary challenge or a decent third party challenge?  With certainty, no Democrat Speaker of the House would be this far removed from its liberal voting base. They would immediately solicit primary and third party challenges. But like an abused wife, the average “conservative” in Illinois will mumble how a “Republican is better than a Democrat”, and then reelect the same ineffective and traitorous legislators with nary a whimper or a protest.

Power of “token” candidates overlooked 

The comment by my political friend regarding her unconditional support of Dold was doubly disappointing, in that a state representative district right next to our own had a primary election March 18, 2014, that illustrated the power of a “token” candidate.

District 51 is one of the most Republican districts in Illinois, yet its state representative, Edward Sullivan, Jr., won re-elections even though he voted for gay marriage, dozens of tax and spending increases, ad nauseum. An individual I know and throughout political circles in Lake County as a strong conservative, finally had enough gumption to stand up and run against Sullivan. Despite raising only $14,000 and being out-spent nearly 30 to 1, this “token” candidate received 43% of the primary vote. A much better candidate decided to run this time around and, not surprising, Ed Sullivan, Jr. decided to retire rather than face certain defeat.

Conservatives have young families and private sector jobs that don’t allow them as much time to spend doing political work as their liberals counterparts. Running for office can cost people jobs, money and slander as the liberal Establishments of both parties engage in retaliation. Nevertheless, retired people can be found, or those with independent means, who don’t have to worry about neglecting their children or losing their source of income. Even “tokens”, as were the candidates who ran and received 31% of the vote against mighty John Boehner in 2014, are enough to force even the big shots to change their positions on issues or retire.

Democrats never hesitate to primary candidates and benefit in time

Liberals don’t use “but we won’t win this time” excuse, not allowing defeat to discourage them. The liberals lost in 1968 with Eugene McCarthy, but came back with George McGovern in 1972 to basically take over the Democrat Party.  As the Goldwater movement of 1964 led the way for the election of Reagan in 1980, the failed liberal movement of 1972 set up the impetus for winning all back under Carter in 1976.  Outlasting Reagan and G.H. Bush, the liberals again won the presidency with Clinton.

The liberal movement even sent a message that Clinton/Gore was not liberal enough which fostered the candidacy of Ralph Nader in 2000.  Is it any wonder that Nader’s platform of “environmental justice; universal healthcare; affordable housing; free education including college; workers’ rights; and increasing the minimum wage to a living wage” is now the platform of every Democrat running for President this year.

From the time of Al “The Pal” Dixon in 1992 to Blanche Lincoln in 2010, Liberals haven’t hesitated to primary anyone who strayed from their line even when it made it easier for a Republican to win. The result: the most left-wing Democrat party in American history still has enough clout to pass anything it wants in Congress and can make it official by retaking the Senate in 2016. Democrats also have a good chance to win the Presidency in 2016, despite lousy candidates with far left positions.  That’s why 21% of the population when polled say they are liberal, yet they dominate the 40% of the population that say they are conservative.    The reason being that liberals are always fighting, while conservatives use every excuse not to collect a few signatures and get somebody on the primary ballot to voice their concerns.

Have conservatives lost the good fight of the past?

In times past conservatives understood a good fight, like their loss in1964 which sowed the seeds of future victories. But other than Kyle McCarter, I’m not aware of any other person challenging the most liberal “Republican” Congressional delegation in the country this side of New York.  Even the most “conservative” congressman, Randy Hultgren, outside of Rep. Darin Lahood who hasn’t been in Congress long enough to establish a credible voting record, voted for the two worst pieces of legislation this year, “Cromnibus” and the “Trans-Pacific Partnership.” McCarter would have a much better chance to defeat “Republican” incumbent Shimkus, if all the rest of his five Illinois congressmen buddies had a primary opponent who would point out their individual unacceptable voting records, even if only “token” candidates.

Conservatives love to wave around copies of the Constitution, but do they really know what it dictates? The President can’t spend a dime unless Congress authorizes it. Congress can reject treaties and presidential appointments, mandate programs the President doesn’t want (by overriding vetoes), and even determine if the Supreme Court can rule on a case.  Article III, Section 2 of the Constitution states: …the Supreme Court shall have original jurisdiction…with such exceptions and under such Regulations as the Congress shall make.”

It is the same situation at the state level right down to your city council. Liberals understand that ultimate power lies in the legislative body, which is why liberals are always running somebody for those seats regardless of location or political party. It’s the constant desire by liberals to win that mandates liberals to have a slate of candidates running for every office. This practice eventually allows them to take over, even when they initially lose. Conservatives just elect a white knight like Reagan (or even Rauner) and then go back to listening to Rush and complaining about how things are getting worse.

Many “conservative” groups, especially those based in D.C. and Springfield, are double agents for the liberal Establishment. They take conservative money but are secretly paid off to waste money and effort on projects that won’t change anything politically. How many “conservative” groups are telling people how to run for precinct committeeman, or for any other local office they can easily win, as a training ground to eventually run for Congress?  The Illinois Family Action’s executive director David Smith is to be applauded for its effort to enlist precinct committeemen.

Sheer laziness rates high in why conservatives lose

Not discounting the importance of reasons already stated as to why conservatives lose, I believe the biggest reason is sheer laziness. Conservatives would rather watch political news and sports, whine on their local political blog, attend some futile rally or conservative meeting, anything but gathering a few signatures to get on the ballot as precinct committeeman or helping somebody else run for office. Except for mothers with very young children and the crippled/blind, everyone else who is reading this article should now be gathering signatures to put somebody conservative on the primary ballot from precinct committeeman on up. If you are not doing that, you are the real reason why conservatives lose, no matter how many “conservative” activities you do.

Since the filing deadline is November 30 for candidates and January 6 for presidential delegates, people actually have about five weeks to run as a candidate and te  weeks for presidential delegates. First on the ballot is nice, but getting on the ballot is everything if you are a token, and that’s what conservatives desperately lack: tokens to plow the ground for future victories, like Bob Bednar when he ran as a token candidate in 2014 against Ed Sullivan Jr. in Illinois District 51.  Non-token candidates are well aware of the rules and the small value of filing first.

Time is running out, so get busy!  No excuses are accepted!  The future of this nation is at stake.  Many feel that another four years of progressive and unconstitutional reign will lead to the demise of a nation that had such hope and promise when conceived by our Founding Fathers.

As Benjamin Franklin cautioned when a lady asked him: “Well what have we – a republic or a monarchy?” “A republic.” replied Franklin …”if you can keep it.”


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